Another day, another drop for the NDP
October 4th: http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/20151003%20Ballot%20TrackingE.pdf
Take a good look at Quebec following the last French debate
The "good news" for the Conservative Party is that despite the Liberal Party lead shown in Nanos polls for voting preferences, they still have a slight lead in projected seats
http://www.cbc.ca/news2/interactives/poll-tracker/2015/index.html
Conservatives 122
Liberals 118
NDP 96
There is another "good news" for the Conservatives. An analysis of prior election results and polls taken before the election typically shows the Conservatives doing 2%-3% better than indicated by the last polls, just prior to the election date.
"should really see the polls move to the CPC in the next few days"
I agree. That should be good for 3% to 5% gain, mostly at the expense of the NDP who really missed the boat on this issue.
How long will it last? Four to five days.
I expect the labour statistics to be released Friday morning may not be favourable to the Conservatives with possibly a higher unemployment rate.
We live in exciting times! Fourteen days to go.
"blame.... provincial Liberals"
Not easy to do.
The national average for unemployment went up last month to 7.0%. It is 6.8% in Ontario.
How can a federal leader blame provincial leaders when most decisions affecting labour are made at the federal level?
Canada signs a new trade agreement where 40,000 auto part workers may lose their jobs (mostly in Ontario) according to union leaders. How can one blame a Premier for decision made by the PM and his Cabinet? Or should we blame the unions?
According to Harper he and his party are good managers for the Canadian economy because: "Since 2006, Canada has concluded free trade agreements with no less than 39 countries, bringing the total to 44, making up more than half of the global economy and representing nearly one quarter of the world’s countries."
That sounds pretty good when you hear or read it, does it not?
How about a reality check?
Canada trade deficit widens as exports fall most since 2012
"Today’s deficit moves the shortfall back towards the record $3.56-billion deficit set in March. The cumulative year-to-date total of deficits at $17.4-billion is a record.
Today’s trade data, along with the September jobs figures due Oct. 9, are among the last major economic reports due before an Oct. 19 election that’s been fought in part over Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s economic management.
"a random sample of 5,197 Canadians by Smart IVR™ on September 30- October 1st, 2015."
That is old news already.
On September 30 Nanos also had the Conservatives in the lead over the Liberals.
That was then. Look at the numbers today:
http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/20151005%20Ballot%20TrackingE.pdf
If you take the time to check the 2011 election polls (a few days before election date) and actual results of the election, you will find Nanos was the closest!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_in_the_Canadian_federal_election,_2011
Patience. In less than fourteen days we will know! 
To provide the best estimate of current voting intentions, the Poll Tracker combines data from all major public opinion polls into a weighted average. According to the latest data (October 5):
Liberal: 32.5%
Conservatives: 32.3%
NDP: 25.0%
http://www.cbc.ca/news2/interactives/poll-tracker/2015/index.html
In 2006, La Presse (most influential newspaper in Quebec) endorsed Stephen Harper. He won.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newspaper_endorsements_in_the_Canadian_federal_election,_2006
In 2015, La Presse (still the most influential newspaper in Quebec) endorses Justin Trudeau.
http://www.lapresse.ca/debats/editoriaux/201510/06/01-4907240-pour-un-gouvernement-trudeau.php
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/la-presse-justin-trudeau-1.3260030
"Conservative Leader Stephen Harper says his government would consider banning public servants from wearing the niqab..."
http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/stephen-harper-niqab-ban-public-servants-1.3258943
I wonder. How many more votes will that bring to the Conservatives?
By the way how many federal civil servant (if any) currently wear the niqab at work?
How low can one go to get votes?
